Ranked: The World’s Largest Cities (1950-2100)
排名:全球最大城市(1950-2100年)
Ranked: The World’s Largest Cities (1950-2100)
排名:全球最大城市(1950-2100年)
Key Takeaways
关键要点
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In 1950, Tokyo and New York were the two most populous cities on Earth.
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By 2050, the 15 most populous cities worldwide will all be in either Africa or Asia.
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Dhaka, Bangladesh is projected to peak in population around 2075 with nearly 60 million inhabitants.
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Across 150 years, familiar urban giants rise, fall, and give way to a new generation of megacities.
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1950年,东京和纽约是全球人口最多的两个城市。
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到2050年,全球人口最多的15个城市将全部位于非洲或亚洲。
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孟加拉国达卡预计在2075年左右达到人口峰值,居民人数接近6000万。
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在150年的时间里,熟悉的城市巨头兴衰更迭,让位于新一代特大城市。
This visualization ranks the 15 most populous cities worldwide from 1950 to 2100 using population estimates from the European Commission’s JRC via
Our World in Data
. City boundaries were consistently defined based on satellite imagery and population data.
本可视化使用欧盟委员会联合研究中心(JRC)通过
Our World in Data
提供的人口估计,对1950年至2100年间全球人口最多的15个城市进行排名。城市边界根据卫星图像和人口数据一致划定。
The Transatlantic Era
跨大西洋时代
Tokyo led the 1950 ranking with 12.6 million people, followed by New York with 9.3 million.
东京以1260万人口位居1950年排行榜首位,纽约以930万紧随其后。
The Big Apple was not the only massive Western city at the time. Of the 15 most populous cities in 1950, over half were found in either Europe or the Americas. This included London (7.9 million), Moscow (5.5 million), and Paris (5.4 million).
当时,大苹果并不是唯一的大型西方城市。在1950年人口最多的15个城市中,超过一半位于欧洲或美洲,包括伦敦(790万)、莫斯科(550万)和巴黎(540万)。
The table below ranks the 15 most populous cities in 1950:
下表列出了1950年人口最多的15个城市:
| Rank | City | Population in 1950 (Millions) | Region |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tokyo | 12.6 | Asia |
| 2 | New York City | 9.3 | North America |
| 3 | Osaka | 8.0 | Asia |
| 4 | London | 7.9 | Europe |
| 5 | Kolkata | 6.1 | Asia |
| 6 | Moscow | 5.5 | Europe |
| 7 | Paris | 5.4 | Europe |
| 8 | Buenos Aires | 4.6 | South America |
| 9 | Los Angeles | 4.0 | North America |
| 10 | Jakarta | 3.9 | Asia |
| 11 | Mumbai | 3.8 | Asia |
| 12 | Mexico City | 3.7 | North America |
| 13 | Cairo | 3.1 | Africa |
| 14 | Shanghai | 3.1 | Asia |
| 15 | São Paulo | 3.1 | South America |
| 排名 | 城市 | 1950年人口(百万) | 地区 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 东京 | 12.6 | 亚洲 |
| 2 | 纽约市 | 9.3 | 北美洲 |
| 3 | 大阪 | 8.0 | 亚洲 |
| 4 | 伦敦 | 7.9 | 欧洲 |
| 5 | 加尔各答 | 6.1 | 亚洲 |
| 6 | 莫斯科 | 5.5 | 欧洲 |
| 7 | 巴黎 | 5.4 | 欧洲 |
| 8 | 布宜诺斯艾利斯 | 4.6 | 南美洲 |
| 9 | 洛杉矶 | 4.0 | 北美洲 |
| 10 | 雅加达 | 3.9 | 亚洲 |
| 11 | 孟买 | 3.8 | 亚洲 |
| 12 | 墨西哥城 | 3.7 | 北美洲 |
| 13 | 开罗 | 3.1 | 非洲 |
| 14 | 上海 | 3.1 | 亚洲 |
| 15 | 圣保罗 | 3.1 | 南美洲 |
The rankings began changing quickly over the following decades. By 1975, London had fallen out of the top 15, while Paris (7.4 million) and Los Angeles (7.7 million) had also slipped in rank.
接下来的几十年里,排名开始迅速变化。到1975年,伦敦已跌出前15名,巴黎(740万)和洛杉矶(770万)的排名也有所下滑。
The second half of the 20th century also saw the rise of Latin American metropolises such as São Paulo and Mexico City, which by 2000 had surpassed New York as the most populous cities in the hemisphere.
20世纪下半叶,圣保罗和墨西哥城等拉丁美洲大都市崛起,到2000年,它们已超越纽约,成为西半球人口最多的城市。
The Rise of Asia
亚洲的崛起
By 2000, Asia dominated the upper reaches of the ranking.
到2000年,亚洲已主导排行榜的上游。
Tokyo maintained its lead at 30.3 million inhabitants, while Guangzhou had climbed to third with 19 million and New Delhi to sixth with 18 million.
东京以3030万居民保持领先,广州以1900万升至第三,新德里以1800万升至第六。
Urbanization and a continental population boom continued, and by 2025 all but one of the 10 most populous cities worldwide were in Asia. The sole exception was Cairo, with 25.6 million people.
城市化与大陆性人口激增持续进行,到2025年,全球人口最多的10个城市中除一个外全部位于亚洲。唯一例外是开罗,人口2560万。
| Rank | City | Population in 2025 (Millions) | Region |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jakarta | 41.9 | Asia |
| 2 | Dhaka | 36.6 | Asia |
| 3 | Tokyo | 33.4 | Asia |
| 4 | New Delhi | 30.2 | Asia |
| 5 | Shanghai | 29.6 | Asia |
| 6 | Guangzhou | 27.6 | Asia |
| 7 | Cairo | 25.6 | Africa |
| 8 | Manila | 24.7 | Asia |
| 9 | Kolkata | 22.5 | Asia |
| 10 | Seoul | 22.5 | Asia |
| 11 | Karachi | 21.4 | Asia |
| 12 | Mumbai | 20.2 | Asia |
| 13 | São Paulo | 18.9 | South America |
| 14 | Bangkok | 18.2 | Asia |
| 15 | Mexico City | 17.7 | North America |
| 排名 | 城市 | 2025年人口(百万) | 地区 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 雅加达 | 41.9 | 亚洲 |
| 2 | 达卡 | 36.6 | 亚洲 |
| 3 | 东京 | 33.4 | 亚洲 |
| 4 | 新德里 | 30.2 | 亚洲 |
| 5 | 上海 | 29.6 | 亚洲 |
| 6 | 广州 | 27.6 | 亚洲 |
| 7 | 开罗 | 25.6 | 非洲 |
| 8 | 马尼拉 | 24.7 | 亚洲 |
| 9 | 加尔各答 | 22.5 | 亚洲 |
| 10 | 首尔 | 22.5 | 亚洲 |
| 11 | 卡拉奇 | 21.4 | 亚洲 |
| 12 | 孟买 | 20.2 | 亚洲 |
| 13 | 圣保罗 | 18.9 | 南美洲 |
| 14 | 曼谷 | 18.2 | 亚洲 |
| 15 | 墨西哥城 | 17.7 | 北美洲 |
The World in 2100
2100年的世界
By 2100, Dhaka is projected to rank first with 55 million people, followed by Jakarta at 49.7 million and Karachi at 43.7 million. Tokyo, the world’s largest city in 1950 and 2000, is projected to fall to ninth place with 24.1 million residents.
到2100年,达卡预计将位居第一,人口5500万;雅加达以4970万紧随其后;卡拉奇以4370万位列第三。东京作为1950年和2000年的世界最大城市,预计将跌至第九位,居民人数为2410万。
| Rank | City | Population in 2100P (Millions) | Region |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhaka | 55.0 | Asia |
| 2 | Jakarta | 49.7 | Asia |
| 3 | Karachi | 43.7 | Asia |
| 4 | Cairo | 36.7 | Africa |
| 5 | New Delhi | 32.0 | Asia |
| 6 | Luanda | 30.7 | Africa |
| 7 | Lahore | 24.8 | Asia |
| 8 | Shanghai | 24.7 | Asia |
| 9 | Tokyo | 24.1 | Asia |
| 10 | Manila | 22.4 | Asia |
| 11 | Mumbai | 21.5 | Asia |
| 12 | Kolkata | 20.5 | Asia |
| 13 | Dar es Salaam | 20.1 | Africa |
| 14 | Guangzhou | 18.1 | Asia |
| 15 | Lagos | 17.9 | Africa |
| 排名 | 城市 | 2100年人口(预测)(百万) | 地区 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 达卡 | 55.0 | 亚洲 |
| 2 | 雅加达 | 49.7 | 亚洲 |
| 3 | 卡拉奇 | 43.7 | 亚洲 |
| 4 | 开罗 | 36.7 | 非洲 |
| 5 | 新德里 | 32.0 | 亚洲 |
| 6 | 罗安达 | 30.7 | 非洲 |
| 7 | 拉合尔 | 24.8 | 亚洲 |
| 8 | 上海 | 24.7 | 亚洲 |
| 9 | 东京 | 24.1 | 亚洲 |
| 10 | 马尼拉 | 22.4 | 亚洲 |
| 11 | 孟买 | 21.5 | 亚洲 |
| 12 | 加尔各答 | 20.5 | 亚洲 |
| 13 | 达累斯萨拉姆 | 20.1 | 非洲 |
| 14 | 广州 | 18.1 | 亚洲 |
| 15 | 拉各斯 | 17.9 | 非洲 |
Cairo will remain the most populous city outside of Asia, with 36.7 million people. It will be joined in the upper rankings by other African megacities including Luanda (30.7 million), Dar es Salaam (20.1 million), and Lagos (17.9 million).
开罗仍将是亚洲以外人口最多的城市,人口3670万。其他非洲特大城市也将加入前列,包括罗安达(3070万)、达累斯萨拉姆(2010万)和拉各斯(1790万)。
Tokyo is projected to see its population fall below its 1975 level as declining birth rates contribute to long-term population decline.
由于出生率下降导致长期人口减少,预计东京的人口将降至1975年的水平以下。
Learn More on the Voronoi App
在Voronoi应用上了解更多
To learn more about national population growth, check out The Top 10 Countries Driving Future Population Growth on Voronoi.
要了解更多关于国家人口增长的信息,请查看Voronoi上的《推动未来人口增长的十大国家》。